Tag: pitching prospects

Red Sox pitching prospect Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz focused on his own development in 2023

Despite dealing with elbow issues last year, Red Sox pitching prospect Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz still enjoyed a relatively productive 2023 season with Low-A Salem.

Rodriguez-Cruz made 14 starts for Salem, which is where he ended his first full professional season in 2022. In 2023, the 20-year-old right-hander posted a 2.60 ERA and 4.37 FIP with 51 strikeouts to 27 walks over 55 1/3 innings of work in which he held opposing hitters to a .219 batting average against.

Prior to the major-league All-Star break in mid-July, Rodriguez had gone 6-2 with a 2.53 ERA (4.45 FIP) in his first 12 outings (53 1/3 innings) of the season. He was then placed on Salem’s injured list on July 21 with right elbow inflammation and did not return to action until the first of September.

Rodriguez-Cruz made two more starts for Salem before the minor-league campaign drew to a close and went an inning in each, allowing one earned run on two hits, one walk, and three strikeouts. He later told MassLive.com’s Christopher Smith at the Red Sox’ fall performance program in Fort Myers that he thought his season “went well.”

“Nobody expects to be injured but besides that, I started the season strong,” Rodriguez-Cruz said. “I feel like I was doing great. I was developing some stuff the organization wants me to do. I feel like I was doing all those things.”

Among the 111 pitchers who tossed 50 or more innings in the Carolina League last year, Rodriguez-Cruz most notably ranked 33rd in batting average against, 42nd in WHIP (1.27), 36th in groundball rate (48.3 percent), and seventh in ERA, per FanGraphs.

Rodriguez-Cruz was originally selected by the Red Sox in the fourth round (105th overall pick) of the 2021 amateur draft out of Leadership Christian Academy in Guaynabo, Puerto Rico. The Trujillo Alto native forwent his commitment to the University of Oregon by signing with Boston for $497,500 as a 17-year-old that July.

Since debuting in the rookie-level Florida Complex League the following June, Rodriguez-Cruz has compiled a 2.31 ERA (3.76 FIP) with 93 strikeouts to 42 walks over 27 total appearances (24 starts) spanning 93 2/3 innings in pro ball thus far.

Standing at 6-foot-3 and 175 pounds, Rodriguez-Cruz throws from a three-quarters arm slot and operates with a four-pitch mix that consists of a 91-93 mph fastball that tops out at 95 mph, a 76-78 mph curveball that features long, 11-to-5 break, an 86-88 mph changeup, and an 84-86 mph slider that is considered by SoxProspects.com to be a “work in progress.”

To that end, Rodriguez-Cruz indicated to Smith back in September that one of his main goals of the offseason was to build strength as he continues to fill out.

“That’s going to help me to improve velo and all that and stay healthy,” the righty explained. “I feel like working on my body is my main priority.”

Having said that, it will be interesting to see if Rodriguez-Cruz benefits from the new pitching infrastructure the Red Sox are putting in place under chief baseball officer Craig Breslow. Brian Abraham, Boston’s farm director, described Rodriguez-Cruz to Smith as a “development staff’s dream because he’s young, he has a live arm, he’s athletic, he’s got a good frame to put on weight, and he works hard.”

Rodriguez-Cruz — who does not turn 20 until August — is currently regarded by Baseball America as the No. 30 prospect in Boston’s farm system, which ranks ninth among pitchers in the organization. He is projected by SoxProspects.com to make the jump to High-A Greenville for the start of the 2024 season.

(Picture of Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz: Gary Streiffer/Flickr)

Who is newest Red Sox pitching prospect David Sandlin?

The Red Sox added to their breadth of pitching prospects on Saturday by acquiring right-hander David Sandlin from the Royals in exchange for veteran reliever John Schreiber.

Sandlin, who turns 23 next week, was originally selected by the Royals in the 11th round of the 2022 amateur draft out of Oklahoma. The former Sooner was ranked by Baseball America as the No. 242 prospect in his class and received a $397,500 signing bonus from Kansas City.

After officially putting pen to paper, Sandlin made his professional debut in the rookie-level Arizona Complex League that August. The righty got the start against ACL Diamondbacks Red on a balmy Monday evening in Surprise and gave up just one hit and no walks with three strikeouts over two scoreless innings of work.

That would prove to be Sandlin’s lone outing with a Royals affiliate in 2022, which is understandable since he had just tossed 66 2/3 innings while helping Oklahoma make it to the College World Series earlier in the spring. Despite the lack of experience, though, the Sooner State native enjoyed a relatively productive first full season of pro ball in 2023.

Sandlin spent most of last year with Low-A Columbia, posting a 3.38 ERA and 3.45 FIP with 79 strikeouts to 13 walks in 12 starts (58 2/3 innings) for the Fireflies. He faced Boston’s Carolina League affiliate, the Salem Red Sox, two times during that stretch and went a season-high seven innings without giving up a run against them on June 9.

Shortly thereafter, Sandlin earned a promotion to High-A Quad Cities. Unfortunately, he made just two starts for the River Bandits — allowing a total of four earned runs with eight strikeouts to five walks over eight innings — before hitting the injured list in early July. That is where he would spend the rest of the season, as he was ultimately shut down due to an oblique strain.

All told, Sandlin went 4-2 with a 3.51 ERA (3.68 FIP) and 87 strikeouts to 18 walks in 14 starts (66 2/3 innings) between Columbia and Quad Cities last season. Among those in the Royals organization who also eclipsed the 60-inning threshold in 2023, Sandlin ranked fifth in strikeouts per nine innings (11.74), seventh in walks per nine innings (2.43), first in strikeout rate (32.1 percent), seventh in walk rate (6.6 percent), eighth in WHIP (1.21), fifth in swinging-strike rate (14.5 percent), eighth in ERA, 11th in FIP, and first in xFIP (2.86), per FanGraphs.

On the heels of that solid showing, Sandlin had been regarded by Baseball America as the No. 20 prospect in Kansas City’s farm system heading into 2024. He was also identified as a potential sleeper candidate “who could take a jump forward” this year.

Standing at 6-foot-4 and 215 pounds, Sandlin operates with a four-pitch mix that consists of a mid-90s fastball that touches 97 mph, a mid-80s slider with horizontal break and high spin rate, a low-80s curveball with bite, and a changeup that breaks like a splitter, according to his Baseball America scouting report.

When speaking with reporters (including MassLive.com’s Christopher Smith and MLB.com’s Ian Browne) at JetBlue Park in Fort Myers on Saturday, Red Sox chief baseball officer Craig Breslow indicated that Sandlin’s velocity has increased significantly since entering the pro ranks, as he previously pitched in the low-90s while in college but has since been able to reach 98-99 mph with his heater.

“He has a good breaking ball and a change that we see room to optimize,” Breslow explained. “So it was a combination of kind of raw stuff, projection and a chance to maybe tweak the usage a little bit and improve performance.”

In light of any possible injury concerns, Breslow said that Sandlin is now “fully ramped up” for spring training and will report to minor-league camp at the Fenway South complex in the coming days. If all goes well, he will likely start the 2024 campaign with High-A Greenville.

(Picture of David Sandlin: Bob Levey/Getty Images)

Who is Stijn Van Der Schaaf? Dutch pitching prospect made pro debut last year after signing with Red Sox

Of all the storylines that played out within the Red Sox farm system last season, a Dutch national making his affiliated debut may have slipped through the cracks a bit.

Stijn Van Der Schaaf, who signed with Boston for $50,000 as an international free agent coming out of the Netherlands last January, appeared in nine games for the rookie-level Florida Complex League Red Sox in 2023. Granted, the Amersfoort native already had some professional experience under his belt, having pitched for HCAW Bussum of the Dutch Major League in 2022, but this represented an entirely new challenge.

As a 19-year-old, Van Der Schaaf did a bit of everything for Boston’s Fort Myers-based affiliate last season. In those nine appearances (one start), the right-hander posted a 4.42 ERA and 5.70 FIP with 14 strikeouts to 15 walks over 18 1/3 innings of work. He and Luis Cohen were the only members of the FCL Red Sox’ pitching staff to both start and save at least one game.

On the surface, an ERA north of four in rookie ball isn’t going to blow anyone away. With that being said, it is worth mentioning that Van Der Schaaf overcame a rough start to his debut season and actually ended it on a relatively strong note.

In three June outings (one start), for instance, Van Der Schaaf allowed seven earned runs and walked 10 of the 22 batters he faced over just 3 1/3 innings. From that point forward, though, the righty pitched to a far more encouraging 1.20 ERA (4.08 FIP) with 11 strikeouts to only five walks in his next six appearances (15 innings) after the calendar flipped to July.

All things considered, it’s rather impressive that — despite averaging more than seven walks per nine innings on the year as a whole — Van Der Schaaf held opposing hitters to a .167 batting average against. Interestingly enough, that figure remained the same in 48 plate appearances against right-handed hitters and 33 plate appearances against left-handed hitters.

Standing at 6-foot-4 and 185 pounds, Van Der Schaaf first drew interest the Red Sox and several other clubs in 2019. He performed well for the Netherlands in different international tournaments, including the 2022 U-18 European Baseball Championship, and was ultimately signed by international scout Rene Saggiadi a little less than 13 months ago.

“I chose Boston because I have the best feeling with them,” Van Der Schaaf told Honkbalsoftball.nl last January. “They have been following me since 2019, have seen the progress I have made every year, know my stats. Their story and perspective for me and what they want to achieve is good and appeals to me.”

Shortly after he signed, Baseball America’s Ben Badler identified Van Der Schaaf as a potential sleeper within Boston’s 2023 international class. In doing so, Badler tabbed Van Der Schaaf as a “deeper projection arm” with “a lot more room to fill out” and a “fasstball that has started to touch the low 90s.”

To expand on that, Red Sox assistant general manager Eddie Romero described Van Der Schaaf as “a good athlete” with room to grow when speaking with The Athletic’s Jen McCaffrey last winter.

“He has really good arm action, free, loose he’s a good athlete,” Romero said. “In a small amount of time our scout saw a lot of improvement, right now he’s a two-pitch guy, we need to work on a third pitch, but we saw him touching 90 (mph) with a really good slider … he had average to tick-above-average spin on the fastball and really good spin on his slider as well.

“His fastball moves and we saw on video that he was overmatching guys,” added Romero. “There are still some inconsistencies because he’s still raw, we have a ways to go with a third pitch, but he was just improving and wanted to play pro ball and we were able to get him.”

Van Der Schaaf, who turns 20 in April, is not currently ranked by any major publication as one of the top pitching prospects in Boston’s farm system. He is, however, projected by SoxProspects.com to return to the Florida Complex League for the start of his second season in the Red Sox organization.

In years past, both the Florida and Arizona Complex League seasons commence in early June and end in late August. As Baseball America’s JJ Cooper reported on Tuesday, though, the 2024 FCL and ACL seasons will get start and finish a month earlier than usual. More specifically, they will begin on May 4 and wrap up on July 25.

Having said that, Van Der Schaaf — as well as several others in the organization — could be ready to make the jump to Low-A Salem well before the summer is over. Of course, that decision may be dependent on Van Der Schaaf’s development and what kind of role the Red Sox have envisioned for him moving forward.

(Picture of Stijn Van Der Schaaf: Bryan Green/Flickr)

How did Red Sox pitching prospect Dalton Rogers fare in first full pro season?

Dalton Rogers was the first pitcher the Red Sox took in the 2022 amateur draft. How did the Southern Mississippi product fare in his first full professional season last year?

Selected with the 99th overall pick and signed for $447,500 that July , Rogers debuted in the rookie-level Florida Complex League but made just two relief appearances before the 2022 season drew to a close. The left-hander then broke camp with Low-A Salem last spring.

Making his full-season debut as a 22-year-old in the Carolina League, Rogers got his 2023 campaign off to an impressive starts. In six starts for the Red Sox out of the gate, he posted a 2.49 ERA and 1.99 FIP with 38 strikeouts to 13 walks over 21 2/3 innings of work in which he held opposing hitters to a .139 batting average against.

Before the calendar flipped from May to June, Rogers received a promotion to High-A Greenville. The lefty carried with him a 2.75 ERA through his first four outings with the Drive. After tossing six no-hit innings and recording the first double-digit strikeout game of his career on June 14, however, he experienced some struggles that really plagued him for the rest of the season.

From June 21 through the end of the regular season, Rogers went 1-6 with a 6.51 ERA and 75 strikeouts to 35 walks over 13 starts (55 1/3 innings). Despite those difficulties, Rogers got the start for Greenville in the second and final game of the South Atlantic League Championship Series against the Hudson Valley Renegades at Fluor Field on September 19. He went the first three innings, allowing just one run on two hits, two walks, and five strikeouts as the Drive went on to take home their second SAL title in franchise history.

All told, Rogers produced a 5.52 ERA (but a much more respectable 4.23 FIP) to go along with 102 punchouts and 48 walks in 17 starts (75 innings) for Greenville last season. Among those in the South Atlantic League who also eclipsed the 70-inning threshold in 2023, Rogers ranked fourth in strikeouts per nine innings (12.24), sixth in strikeout rate (30.9 percent), 16th in batting average against (.238), 21st in groundball rate (42.3 percent), 20th in swinging-strike rate (13.4 percent), 21st in FIP, and 14th in xFIP (4.19), per FanGraphs.

Between Salem and Greenville, Rogers went 2-7 with a 4.84 ERA (3.73 FIP) and 140 strikeouts t0 61 walks across 23 total starts spanning 96 2/3 innings pitched. He was one of 11 Red Sox minor-leaguers to reach the century mark in strikeouts last season and was named an MiLB.com organizational All-Star alongside the likes of right-hander Wikelman Gonzalez and reliever Luis Guerrero.

Rogers, who turned 23 last month, is currently regarded by SoxProspects.com as the No. 34 prospect in Boston’s farm system, which ranks second among lefties in the organization behind only Brandon Walter. The Mississippi native stands at 5-foot-11 and 172 pounds and throws from a three-quarters arm slot. As noted in his SoxProspects.com scouting report, he operates with a three-pitch mix that consists of a 91-94 mph fastball that tops out at 96 mph, an 81-83 mph changeup, and a 79-82 mph slider that features horizontal break.

As he prepares for his third pro season, which will likely begin in Greenville, it remains to be seen if Rogers’ future lies in being used as a starter or reliever. The Boston Globe’s Alex Speier, who also compiles the Red Sox’ organizational rankings for Baseball America, wrote last February that the club “will develop Rogers as a starter, hoping that his control will improve to the point where his tantalizing mix can play to its fullest potential. If everything coalesces, he has the pitches to emerge as a No. 4 starter. If control remains elusive, Rogers could become a middle-innings lefty with high strikeout and walk rates.”

Either way, Rogers could benefit from the new pitching infrastructure that Red Sox chief baseball officer has been putting in place since his hiring. With that, it would not too surprising if Rogers continues to put up big strikeout numbers while improving in other areas and ultimately makes his way to Double-A Portland at some point in 2024.

(Picture of Dalton Rogers: Gwinn Davis/Greenville Drive)

After breakout season, Yordanny Monegro comes into 2024 as one of Red Sox’ top pitching prospects

When thinking about which Red Sox prospects broke out the most last year, outfielder Roman Anthony probably comes first to mind, and rightfully so. On the pitching side of things, though, that distinction might belong to none other than Yordanny Monegro.

Entering the 2023 campaign, Monegro was not viewed by outlets like Baseball America as one of the top pitching prospects in Boston’s farm system. After spending all of 2022 in the Florida Complex League, the 21-year-old right-hander repeated at the Sox’ rookie-level affiliate to kick off his third professional season last June.

Monegro made just three starts for the FCL Red Sox and dominated, allowing two earned runs on five hits, four walks, and 20 strikeouts over 15 innings in which he held opposing hitters to a .102 batting average against. As such, he was named the Florida Complex League Pitcher of the Month for June, though he earned a promotion to Low-A Salem before the calendar had even flipped to July.

Facing full-season competition for the first time as a pro, Monegro picked up where he left off by striking out a career-high of 11 over five scoreless innings in his Salem debut on June 25. He tied that career high again in August and finished with a 2.43 ERA — as well as 60 punchouts to 17 walks — in nine starts (40 2/3 innings) for the Red Sox before making the jump to High-A Greenville in the late stages of the summer.

Yet again, Monegro impressed in his first outing with a new affiliate by taking over for the rehabbing Zack Kelly in the second inning and fanning eight Brooklyn Cyclones across five scoreless frames at Fluor Field on September 1. The righty did not fare as well in his final start of the regular season eight days later, but he made up for it by picking up the win against the Hickory Crawdads in the second and final game of the South Atlantic League division series on Sept. 14. The Drive then swept the Hudson Valley Renegades in the championship series to take home their second SAL title in franchise history and first since 2017.

All told, Monegro went 6-3 with a 2.06 ERA and 93 strikeouts to 26 walks in 14 appearances (13 starts) spanning 65 2/3 total innings of work between the FCL, Salem, and Greenville last year. Among his peers in the Red Sox organization who also eclipsed the 60-inning threshold in 2023, Monegro ranked third in strikeouts per nine innings (12.75), 10th in walks per nine innings (3.56), second in strikeout rate (34.6 percent), 11th in walk rate (9.7 percent), second in batting average against (.194), second in WHIP (1.10), 12th in line-drive rate (21.3 percent), fifth in groundball rate (48.9 percent), and first in swinging-strike rate (20 percent), ERA, FIP (2.55), and xFIP (3.05), per FanGraphs.

Monegro, who hails from the Dominican Republic, originally signed with the Red Sox for just $35,000 as an international free agent in February 2020. Because of the COVID-19 pandemic that ensued, the Santo Domingo native was unable to make his pro debut until the following July. He then compiled a 3.63 ERA in 13 Dominican Summer League starts (39 2/3 innings) that year and followed by struggling to a 7.36 ERA over 25 2/3 innings in the 2022 Florida Complex League.

Given the struggles he endured in his stateside debut, the success Monegro enjoyed this past season may have been surprising to some. Internally, however, the Red Sox had high hopes for Monegro going into 2023 because of what he accomplished in the offseason. Assistant general manager Eddie Romero acknowledged as much in a July email exchange with BloggingtheRedSox.com.

“We were really excited about Monegro heading into the spring,” Romero wrote. “He impressed a lot with the physical shape he came into spring training, and has continued to work since then — this has been key to his early-season success. He’s super athletic with a lightning quick arm which contributes to his ability to have a plus breaking ball. He’s tightened up his delivery to let his athleticism show and be consistent with his mechanics.”

Standing at 6-foot-4 and 180 pounds, Monegro operates with a diverse arsenal that consists of a four-seam fastball that averages just under 95 mph, a 12-to-6 curveball that sits between 76-81 mph, and an 88-90 mph cutter, per his Baseball America scouting report. That same scouting report notes that Monegro “also has a two-seamer and splitter, though the latter is a work in progress. In order to stick as a starter, he’ll likely need to either sharpen one of his pitches into a plus offering or develop the splitter into a solid offering.”

Monegro — who does not turn 22 until October — is now regarded by Baseball America as the No. 18 prospect in Boston’s farm system, which ranks fourth among pitchers in the organization behind only fellow righties Wikelman Gonzalez, Luis Perales, and Richard Fitts. He is expected to return to Greenville for the start of the 2024 season, though he could reach the upper levels by the end of the year since he can become Rule 5-eligible for the first time next winter.

(Picture of Yordanny Monegro: Kelly O’Connor/sittingstill.smugmug.com)

Red Sox sign former Giants pitching prospect Melvin Adón to minor-league deal

The Red Sox signed former Giants pitching prospect Melvin Adon to a minor-league contract last week, according to the club’s MLB.com transactions log. It is unclear if the deal comes with an invite to major-league spring training.

Adon, 29, spent the last nine seasons in the Giants organization before reaching free agency this past November. The Dominican Republic native originally signed with San Francisco for $50,000 as a 20-year-old international free agent coming out of Santo Domingo in February 2015.

Making his professional debut in the Dominican Summer League later that year, Adon quickly emerged as one of the more intriguing arms in San Francisco’s farm system. The right-hander worked his way up through the organization primarily as a starter, but successfully transitioned to the bullpen in the 2018 Arizona Fall League before being added to the Giants’ 40-man roster that November in order to receive protection from the Rule 5 Draft.

Adon was ranked by Baseball America as the Giants’ No. 12 prospect to open the 2019 season. Used exclusively as a reliever that year, he forged a 4.72 ERA with 77 strikeout to 34 walks in 48 appearances (55 1/3 innings) between Double-A Richmond and Triple-A Sacramento. Adon did not pitch for a minor-league affiliate in 2020 as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, but he wound up injuring himself in winter ball that offseason and underwent right shoulder surgery in February 2021 as a result.

The procedure cost Adon, who was non-tendered by the Giants and brought back on a minor-league deal, all of 2021 and the first two months of the 2022 campaign. He returned to action in the rookie-level Arizona Complex League that June and closed out the year in Richmond.

Adon was at spring training with the Giants around this time last year. He pitched at three different levels during the 2023 season, though 32 of his 43 appearances came with Sacramento. In two separate stints with the River Cats, the righty posted a 7.43 ERA (5.90 FIP) with 50 strikeouts to 37 walks over 40 innings of relief in which opponents batted .297 against him.

All told, Adon owns a lifetime 4.47 ERA with 451 strikeouts to 215 walks in 181 career minor-league outings (65 starts) spanning 457 total innings of work. That includes an 8.76 ERA in 44 appearances at the Triple-A level. He also pitched for the Toros Del Este of the Dominican Winter League this offseason, though he was limited to just one appearance there back in October.

Standing at 6-foot-3 and 246 pounds, Adon primarily operates with a two-pitch mix that consists of an upper-90s sinking fastball that can reach triple digits and a low-90s slider. As FanGraphs’ Eric Longenhagen mentioned last June, Adon struggles with his command and “can’t throw strikes with his fastball, but he might not have to if he can get ahead of hitters with his slider and then rush his heater past them once he’s in two-strike counts.”

It is worth noting that although Adon is switching organizations for the first time in his career, he already has one prior connection on the Red Sox in pitching coach Andrew Bailey, who served in the same capacity for the Giants the last four seasons before leaving for Boston in November.

Adon, who turns 30 in June, will surely be looking to benefit from a change of scenery and make his big-league debut with the Red Sox at some point this season. Given how much right-handed depth Boston currently has in its bullpen, though, he is likely ticketed to break camp with Triple-A Worcester this spring.

(Picture of Melvin Adon: Christian Petersen/Getty Images)

Red Sox pitching prospect Noah Dean ended debut season on positive note last year

For Red Sox pitching prospect Noah Dean, the 2023 season was not without its challenges.

Dean spent all of 2023 with Low-A Salem. The 22-year-old left-hander posted a 6.29 ERA and 5.51 FIP with 86 strikeouts to 72 walks in 21 appearances (17 starts) spanning 63 innings of work for Boston’s Carolina League affiliate.

Despite being regarded by Baseball America as “one of the more exciting pure relievers” in his class when he was taken by the Red Sox in the fifth round of the 2022 amateur draft out of Old Dominion, Dean — who did not pitch with an affiliate after signing for $322,500 — made his professional debut as a starter last April.

Maybe it was to be expected, but Dean struggled in that unfamiliar role out of the gate. The New Jersey native put up an 8.31 ERA in four April starts, though he managed to hold opponents to a .194 batting average against while doing so. He then put together two scoreless, five-inning starts to begin and end a more encouraging month of May.

June (15 earned runs in nine innings) yielded far less promising results. The same can be said for July (eight earned runs in 14 2/3 innings) as well, but it appears as though Dean began to figure things out a bit after the All-Star break.

In his final three starts of July, for instance, Dean struck out 20 of the 50 batters he faced over 12 frames in which he pitched to a 4.50 ERA. He made one more start on August 6, but lasted just two-thirds of an inning in that outing before moving to the bullpen for the remainder of the season.

As a reliever, Dean appeared in four games for Salem down the stretch and did not allow a run in three of them. Walks were still somewhat of an issue, but the lefty forged a 2.93 ERA while punching out 21 and yielding just five hits across 15 1/3 innings out of the Red Sox’ bullpen.

Altogether, it was a mixed bag of sorts for Dean in his debut season, but he certainly ended things on a positive note. He was one of just seven southpaws to take the mound for Salem in 2023 and unsurprisingly fared better against left-handed hitters (.196 opponents’ batting average) than right-handed hitters (.246 opponents’ batting average).

Among the 74 pitchers who logged at least 60 innings in the Carolina League last year, Dean ranked seventh in strikeouts per nine innings (12.29), 19th in strikeout rate (28.5 percent), 29th in batting average against (.232), and seventh in batting average on balls in play (.358), which suggests that he might have gotten unlucky at times on account of poor defense behind him or something similar.

On the flip side of those impressive strikeout numbers, though, Dean was also among the worst in the Carolina League when it came to giving up ball four. Using the same parameters as above, Dean ranked 74th in walks per nine innings (10.29), walk rate (23.8 percent), and WHIP (1.97), 71st in ERA and xFIP (5.41), and 72nd in FIP, per FanGraphs.

To that end, it will be of the utmost importance for Dean to refine both his command and control of the strike zone as he continues to develop. The 6-foot-2, 185-pound hurler already possesses an intriguing three-pitch mix that consists of a 92-94 mph fastball that tops out at 96 mph, a 77-81 mph curveball, and an 83-85 mph changeup, according to his SoxProspects.com scouting report.

Dean, who turns 23 in March, is not currently ranked by SoxProspects.com as one of the top pitching prospects in Boston’s farm system. He is projected by the site to make the jump to High-A Greenville for the start of the 2024 season, but will likely do so as a member of the Drive’s bullpen as opposed to their starting rotation.

(Picture of Noah Dean: Gary Streiffer/Flickr)

Red Sox pitching prospect Chih-Jung Liu led Double-A Portland in strikeouts (145) last season

Red Sox pitching prospect Chih-Jung “CJ” Liu put up some of the best strikeout numbers in the entire organization last season.

Liu, 24, spent all of 2023 with Double-A Portland after closing out the 2022 campaign there. In 26 appearances (24 starts) for the Sea Dogs, the right-hander posted a 5.35 FIP and 4.71 FIP with a team-leading 145 strikeouts to 61 walks over a team-leading 114 1/3 innings of work.

After an up-and-down April, Liu made headlines by tossing a seven-inning no-hitter in Game 1 of a doubleheader against the Akron RubberDucks on May 5. He then struggled to some degree as the calendar flipped from May to June and wound up spending more than a week on Portland’s development list as a result.

Upon returning to action on July 7, however, Liu put together his first double-digit strikeout game of the season, punching out 10 in seven strong innings as part of a 6-1 win over the Binghamton Rumble Ponies at home. He one-upped himself in his next time out — which did not come until July 18 because of the All-Star break — by fanning a career-high of 11 over 5 2/3 innings in a 9-8 victory over the New Hampshire Fisher Cats at Hadlock Field.

On the heels of racking up 21 strikeouts to kick off his July, Liu owned a respectable 4.25 ERA (4.23 FIP) through his first 16 starts (78 1/3 innings) for the Sea Dogs. Unfortunately for the righty, things began to unravel from there as he pitched to an unsightly 8.69 ERA (6.76 FIP) over his next eight starts (29 innings) before moving to Portland’s bullpen in early September.

While pitching in relief, which is something he did with High-A Greenville in 2022, Liu was at least able to end his season on a more encouraging note. He made two appearances out of the ‘pen for the Sea Dogs and allowed three earned runs on six hits, three walks, and 12 strikeouts across seven frames in which he held opposing hitters to a .222 batting average against.

All things considered, it was an inconsistent year for Liu, who gave up more walks and home runs (19) than anyone else on Portland’s staff. Still, among 14 qualified pitchers in the Eastern League, Liu ranked second in strikeouts per nine innings (11.41), third in strikeout rate (28.4 percent), fifth in groundball rate (41.4 percent), first in swinging-strike rate (16.8 percent), and seventh in xFIP (3.90), per FanGraphs. He also led the pack in batting average on balls in play (3.54), which suggests that he may have been the victim of bad luck and/or poor defense behind him.

In addition to what he did for the Sea Dogs, Liu also pitched for Team Chinese Taipei at the 2022 Asian Games (postponed a year because of COVID-19) back in October. Playing alongside former Red Sox utility man Tzu-Wei Lin, Liu made two scoreless appearances spanning five innings of relief en route to helping Chinese Taipei take home a silver medal.

Altogether, the 2023 season marked Liu’s third in pro ball after he originally with the Red Sox for $750,000 as an international free agent coming out of Taiwan in October 2019. Though a two-way player as an amateur, the Tainan City native has stuck to pitching since making his professional debut in July 2021.

Fast forward nearly three years later, and Liu now stands at 6-feet and 185 pounds. Throwing from a three-quarters arm slot, he — as noted in his SoxProspects.com scouting report — operates with a four-pitch mix that consists of a 93-95 mph fastball that tops out at 98 mph, an 80-82 mph changeup that shows late, downward movement, an 83-86 mph slider that features 10-to-4 break, and a get-me-over 78-80 mph curveball.

Liu, who turns 25 in April, was eligible for the Rule 5 Draft this winter after being left off Boston’s 40-man roster. It was even reported that the Red Sox entertained trading Liu before the November deadline, but that obviously never came to fruition and he is still with the organization.

That being said, the same rules will apply to Liu this year. He is currently regarded by SoxProspects.com as the No. 54 prospect in Boston’s farm system and is projected to return to Portland for the start of the 2024 minor-league season, but will likely do so as a reliever as opposed to a starter. If his stuff sticks up and he refines his approach of the bullpen, Liu could be on the fast track to Triple-A Worcester before long.

(Picture of Chih-Jung Liu: Philip Fong/AFP via Getty Images)

Red Sox pitching prospect Jedixson Paez has advanced feel, ‘remarkable’ command for his age

Red Sox pitching prospect Jedixson Paez was one of just eight teenagers to throw 50 or more innings in the Carolina League last season.

Paez, who celebrated his 20th birthday on Wednesday, emerged as a steady presence on the mound for Low-A Salem in 2023. The then-19-year-old right-hander posted a 3.31 ERA and 3.69 FIP with 73 strikeouts to just 12 walks in 18 outings (16 starts) spanning 84 1/3 innings of work.

Trailing only Jose Ramirez, who has since been scooped up by the White Sox in the minor-league phase of last month’s Rule 5 Draft, for the team lead in innings pitched, Paez initially got his year off to a rough start and wound up hitting the injured list with shoulder stiffness after giving up a season-worst nine runs (six earned) in four innings as part of a 13-4 loss to the Lynchburg Hillcats in April.

Upon returning to action in mid-May, however, Paez seemingly turned a corner and carried with him a 3.04 ERA (3.60 FIP) over his next 11 starts (50 1/3 innings) through the end of July. After being selected as SoxProspects.com’s Pitcher of the Month for July, the righty produced a 2.65 ERA in three August starts (17 innings) before moving to Salem’s bullpen for the season’s final stretch.

Operating in a bulk relief role in games against the Fredericksburg Nationals (Aug. 27) and Augusta GreenJackets (September 3), Paez yielded a total of three runs (two earned) on nine hits, zero walks, one hit batsman, and nine punchouts over nine frames.

Altogether, it was a solid showing for Paez, who was recognized as a 2023 SoxProspects.com All-Star. Among the 28 other pitchers who eclipsed the 80-inning threshold in the Carolina League last year, Paez ranked first in walks per nine innings (1.28) and walk rate (3.6 percent), second in WHIP (1.01) and groundball rate (49.4 percent), ninth in batting average against (.228), and 10th in swinging-strike rate (14.3 percent), per FanGraphs.

A native of Venezuela, Paez originally signed with the Red Sox as an international free agent around this same time three years ago. The Tinaquillo native received the highest bonus ($450,000) of any pitcher Boston brought in during the 2021 signing period and made the most of his professional debut in the Dominican Summer League (3.86 ERA in 13 starts) to earn organizational Latin Program Pitcher of the Year honors.

After pitching about once a week in the Florida Complex League in 2022, Paez stuck to a similar schedule with Salem last year and subsequently experienced an uptick in fastball velocity. To complement his fastball, which sits between 89-91 mph and tops out at 92 mph, the 6-foot-1, 170-pound hurler also mixes in a 76-79 mph curveball that features 10-to-5 break and an 82-84 mph changeup that shows late dive.

Paez is currently regarded by SoxProspects.com as the No. 39 prospect in Boston’s farm system, which ranks 17th among pitchers in the organization. Another notable evaluator, Eric Longenhagen of FanGraphs, tabbed Paez as his 35th-ranked Red Sox prospect over the summer and compared him to a former big-leaguer.

“Paez is Vance Worley with a shorter arm action,” Longenhagen wrote last June. “An athletic little righty with a sinking/tailing fastball that runs off the hip of lefty batters and back into the zone. He doesn’t throw very hard, he isn’t especially projectable, and he’s already liberally mixing in his secondaries just to get by in the lower levels of the minors, but Paez has remarkable command for a 19-year-old and his fastball/changeup duo diverge from his slider in a way that keeps the baseball off the barrel.”

Barring a trade or other surprising move, Paez is expected to make the jump to High-A Greenville for the start of the 2024 minor-league season. As others have pointed out, Paez would benefit from adding more velocity to his arsenal as he continues to rise through the prospect ranks. Given how the Red Sox have overhauled their pitching infrastructure under chief baseball officer Craig Breslow this winter, that could be within reach.

(Picture of Jedixson Paez: Gary Streiffer/Flickr)

How did Red Sox pitching prospect Isaac Coffey fare in first full pro season?

Of the 13 pitchers the Red Sox drafted in 2022, no one pitched more innings in their first full professional season than 10th-round selection Isaac Coffey.

Coffey, the 309th overall pick in the 2022 amateur draft out of Oral Roberts, received a modest signing bonus of $7,500 and made just two relief appearances in the rookie-level Florida Complex League as part of his pro debut. The right-hander then broke camp with High-A Greenville last spring to kick off his 2023 campaign.

In 11 starts for the Drive, Coffey posted a 2.83 ERA and 3.90 FIP with 83 strikeouts to just 11 walks over 60 1/3 innings of work in which he held opposing hitters to a .223 batting average against. He recorded three double-digit strikeout games in that stretch before earning a promotion to Double-A Portland in late June.

Coffey debuted for the Sea Dogs at Hadlock Field on his 23rd birthday (June 21) and put together one of his shortest outings of the year, allowing four runs over the first two-plus innings of a 5-4 loss to the Reading Fightin Phils. He rebounded to the tune of six scoreless, three-hit frames in a winning effort against the New Hampshire Fisher Cats eight days later and wound up producing a 3.92 ERA (4.93 FIP) with 72 strikeouts to 23 walks in 12 total appearances (11 starts) spanning 57 1/3 innings with Portland.

Among the 106 hurlers who accrued 50 or more innings in the Eastern League last season, Coffey ranked 13th in strikeouts per nine innings (11.3), 44th in walks per nine innings (3.61), 20th in strikeout rate (28.7 percent), 42nd in walk rate (9.2 percent), 20th in batting average against (.215), 21st in WHIP (1.20), 47th in swinging-strike rate (13.1 percent), 45th in ERA, and 48th in xFIP (4.15), per FanGraphs.

Altogether, Coffey went 11-6 with a 3.37 ERA (4.40 FIP) and 155 strikeouts to 33 walks in 23 outings (22 starts, 117 2/3 innings pitched) between Greenville and Portland. For his work with the Drive specifically, he was named a 2023 South Atlantic League All-Star alongside teammates Blaze Jordan and Roman Anthony.

A former two-way player in college, Coffey stands at 6-foot-1 and 205 pounds. The California native throws from a deceptive sidearm slot and — as noted in his SoxProspects.com scouting report — operates with a three-pitch mix that consists of an 88-90 mph fastball that tops out at 91 mph, a 77-79 mph slider that features 10-to-4 break, and an 83-84 mph changeup.

As for how his unique delivery came into existence, Coffey explained to FanGraphs’ David Laurila last June that it dates back to his early days at Oral Roberts, where — in addition to pitching — he saw limited playing time at both middle infield positions.

“I was always a three-quarters guy, never straight over the top, and in my freshman year I had 14 starts while also playing some third base,” Coffey said. “Then, in my junior year [Coffey’s sophomore year coincided with the pandemic], I was fielding ground balls at third base and kind of throwing it over to first sidearm. Doing that felt natural. Our pitching coach saw that and was like, ‘Hey, let’s get you on the mound and play with some different arm slots.’ We did that, dropping way down to going higher up, and settled on the where I’m at right now. It felt comfortable, and my velo and movement both ticked up from where they had been.”

Coming into his age-24 season, Coffey is currently regarded by SoxProspects.com as the No. 44 prospect in Boston’s farm system, which ranks 18th among pitchers in the organization. Barring a trade, he is projected to return to Portland’s starting rotation this spring.

Because he does not light up the radar gun, Coffey will need to show signs of improvement when it comes to handling more mature hitters in the upper-minors. He was solid with the Sea Dogs during the latter half of the 2023 season, but the Red Sox may be looking for more when it comes to evaluating Coffey’s development and future as a starter or reliever.

To that end, Coffey also told Laurila over the summer that he would be willing to do “whatever they want me to do” as it pertains to his future role and potential path to the big-leagues.

“I’ll dive into that role as best as I can,” said Coffey. “Right now it’s being a starter. It’s what I’ve always done. I came out of the ‘pen once in high school and not at all in college. I threw two innings in the [Florida Complex League] after I got drafted, but that’s it as far as relieving. But again, whatever they want in the future, I’ll dive right into it.”

(Picture of Isaac Coffey: Kelly O’Connor/sittingstill.smugmug.com)