At the MLB All-Star break, no Red Sox minor-leaguer has recorded more strikeouts to this point in the season than Connelly Early.
Early, Boston’s fifth-round selection in last summer’s draft out of Virginia, has been a key member of High-A Greenville’s starting rotation through the first three-plus months of the 2024 campaign. In a staff-leading 15 starts for the Drive, the 22-year-old left-hander has posted a 3.72 ERA and 3.67 FIP with 90 strikeouts to 24 walks over 67 2/3 innings. Opposing hitters have batted just .208 against him.
Among the 35 pitchers who have worked at least 60 innings in the South Atlantic League this year, Early ranks third in strikeouts per nine innings (11.97), strikeout rate (30.9 percent), swinging-strike rate (15.7 percent), and xFIP (3.33), fourth in groundball rate (51.2 percent), eighth in batting average against, 10th in WHIP (1.14), 11th in FIP, 14th in walks per nine innings (3.19) and walk rate (8.2 percent), and 15th in ERA, per FanGraphs.
A native of Virginia himself, Early spent the first two years of his collegiate career at Army before transferring to UVA as a junior. In his lone season with the Cavaliers, the lefty was recognized as a third-team All-ACC selection. He signed with the Red Sox for $408,500 after being taken with the 151st overall pick last July and made one start for Low-A Salem in September to mark his professional debut.
Listed at 6-foot-3 and 195 pounds, Early throws from a three-quarters arm slot and incorporates a medium-high leg kick into his delivery. As highlighted by SoxProspects.com, he operates with a four-pitch mix that consists of a 92-93 mph fastball that has reached 95 mph this season, an 80-82 mph changeup that is considered to be his best secondary offering, a 79-81 mph curveball, and an 87-88 mph cutter.
To that end, Early is currently regarded by Baseball America as the No. 26 prospect in Boston’s farm system, which ranks eighth among pitchers in the organization. The publication notes that Early “throws an average amount of strikes and benefits from high chase rates against his changeup and cutter.” It adds that he “has a backend starter’s upside, but is more likely to be reliable rotation depth as an up-and-down option.”
Considering that it has only been a little over a year since he entered the pro ranks, it will be interesting to see if Early — who does not turn 23 until next April — can put himself in position for a promotion to Double-A Portland before the season draws to a close.
(Picture of Connelly Early: Gwinn Davis/Greenville Drive)
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